The Guide to Saturday

Brief Hiatus, pick it back up here with a very familiar team.

Carolina Hurricanes v. Dallas Stars (@PNC Arena; Raleigh, NC)

The Dallas Stars are now officially eliminated from the playoffs, not only does this bring an extremely discouraged team, but also allows us to target the 3rd worst team in the NHL on the road (11-23-5) on a current downward trend (4-5-1 in their last 10 and losing their last 2 in a row).  With Carolina making a very strong case lately as to the legitimacy of their playoff contention going (7-0-3) in their last 10 I see no reason as to why they can not absolutely dominate this spineless Dallas side. I may sound like a broken record here but the Canes are once again, phenomenal at home (23-10-5) and in my mind deserve to be in the playoffs based on their play lately.  I wouldn’t hesitate to throw the house on the Canes as they look to extend their current win streak to 3 in a row, they have held teams to one goal in 4 of their last 5 games and are having no issue putting the puck in the net.

PICK: Carolina Hurricanes to win in regulation. (Even)

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The Guide to Tuesday

Doubling down on the Canes in another great spot.

Carolina Hurricanes v. Detroit Red Wings (@PNC Arena; Raleigh, NC)

There has not been a team that has played 3 games in 3 nights in the past 14 YEARS of the NHL, and this is the exact situation we see the Red Wings in tonight.  This write up is going to be brief because a-lot of the reasons to take the Canes tonight are the same as last night.  Re-touching on last nights game the red wings wound up potting 3 of their 4 goals on breakaways and the other one came on the powerplay.  The overly eager Canes will tighten it up on D tonight and not allow that, they were lucky to move closer to playoff contention with that point but will not allow another 2 to slip away tonight.  They were able to outshoot the Wings 42-27 last night and will absolutely lay it on an even more tired Red Wings team tonight, as previously mentioned they are playing their 3rd game in 3 nights but this will also be their 4th game in 5 nights.  Wings looked sluggish last night but ran into some luck, double down on this canes side tonight.

PICK: Carolina Hurricanes to win in regulation. (-120)

NHL: Detroit Red Wings at Carolina Hurricanes

USA v. Panama (Estadio Rommel Fernández, Panama City, Panama)

After watching the USA romp a Honduras team 6-0 in new coach Bruce Arena’s first competition of his second stint as head coach of the US side it is apparent that the US has gained some momentum in the change. With Dempsey back and putting up a break out 3 goal game since the heart issue we have a ton of attacking power to look forward to with the accompanying magic of Christian Pulisic.  Pulisic has been a wizard in the midfield linking perfectly timed and touched passes.  With Dempsey and Altidore up front as a perfect balance of power and finesse backed by the extremely solid midfield of Nagbe, Pulisic, Jones and Bradley there should be no reason why the USA’s talents can shine here in what will be a statement game for the American side. Feel great about the Red, White and Blue here as they are much more solid than this Panama side and backed by the great Tim Howard.

PICK: USA to win. (+130)

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The Guide to Monday

Keeping the streak alive tonight with the Canes.

Carolina Hurricanes v. Detroit Red Wings (@PNC Arena; Raleigh, NC)

Coming into this game the Hurricanes have proven red hot (7-0-3) in their last 10 and riding a 3 game win streak.  Not only have they been hot lately, but all season they have dominated teams at home (21-10-4).  With Detroit playing their 3rd game in 4 days and barely squeaking out a 3-2 win last night racking up 13 giveaways and only 19 SOG v. Minnesota (who has been struggling tremendously lately and Dubnyk has looked awful). In the Wings last 10 theyve been (5-4-1) and have a (15-16-6) road record on the season.  Carolina still has playoff hopes and NEEDS wins like these at home to keep that hope alive and well.  Also, tired teams take more penalties, which is a great thing when facing a Detroit team who is letting up an astronomical (3.24 GA/G) away from the Joe.  Now for goaltending – Lack allowed one goal on 27 shots in the Hurricanes’ win in New Jersey on Saturday. Lack has been great recently, winning four straight starts with a 1.25 GAA and .954 SV%. He will look to extend his winning streak to five tonight vs. the Red Wings (Via. Chip Alexander – newsobserver.com). The Red Wings goalie rotation will continue with Mrazek going tonight in Carolina. He has lost his last two starts despite stopping 58 of 62 shots (.935 SV%) (Via. Ansar Khan – MLive.com).

PICK: Carolina Hurricanes to win in regulation. (-115)

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The Guide to Thursday

Lets keep it alive with some more NHL action while soccer remains dead.

Montreal Canadiens v. Carolina Hurricanes (@ Centre Bell; Montreal, Canada)

Despite Carolina’s recent success (or what seems like success) it is still a very easy spot to target a home Montreal Canadiens team.  Carolina is still the 6th worst team in hockey on the road with a god awful (10-17-9) record.  Although Carolina has been 6-1-3 in their last 10, when you take a closer look you see that 3 of those wins were against expansion level teams.  Two were against Colorado and Arizona and the third trash win was against an Islanders team on the road starting Jean-François Bérubé who consistently puts up sub .900 save percentages.  This 6-1-3 does not reflect their ability to take a road game v. an incredibly hot Carey Price in the Bell Centre.  The Canadiens are 7-2-1 in their last 10 and look to stomp on the Canes’ who will be playing their 4th game in 6 days.  Now a little bit on the goaltending match-up: Price stopped 30 of 31 shots in the Canadiens’ win over the Senators on Sunday. Price has been impressive, going 6-1-0 with a 1.55 GAA and .942 SV% in seven March starts (Via. John Lu – TSN).  Lack allowed two goals on 29 shots in the Hurricanes’ win over the Predators last Saturday. He has won his last two starts while allowing just three goals on 57 shots (.950 SV%) (Via. Amanda Stein – TSN).

PICK: Montreal Canadiens to win in regulation (-110)

Cam Ward, Brian Gionta, Bobby Sanguinetti

*TARGET THE DEVILS AT (+240) TO WIN IN REGULATION V. TORONTO PLAYING ITS 3RD GAME IN 4 DAYS WITH MCELHINNEY IN NET FOR A LOW RISK HIGH REWARD PLAY*

The Guide to Monday

Lets start Monday strong.

Chelsea v. Manchester United (@Stamford Bridge; Fulham, London)

Let’s not get caught up on names in this one, Chelsea is a far better side and has proven so over this past year as they lead the EPL table while Man U. sits in a dismal 6th place. Chelsea has had the whole week to prepare while Man U. will be traveling back from their competition in Russia on the 9th against FC Rostov in the Europa. The interesting part about this match-up is it seems that this United side will have no set striker. Martial and Rooney are both injured, Ibrahimovic is suspended due to red card AND their last hope Marcus Rashford is listed as ill and did not make the trip with the team. With the big ? at the striker spot for a team that’s been in poor form (drawing 1-1 in their last 2 competitions to far worse sides), this seems like a real scary situation for Man U. here especially when the contest takes place at Stamford Bridge.  Chelsea has been undefeated in their last 11 v. Man U. and the last time these two faced at the Bridge, Chelsea motored to a 4-0 victory.  A well rested and fully healthy Blues side should assert dominance in this one.

PICK: Chelsea to Win. (-135)

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New York Islanders v. Carolina Hurricanes (@Barclays Center; Brooklyn, NY)

Nothing too fancy here, just a solid line for what should be an easy win.  The Hurricanes just plain old suck away from home. Their home record is a solid  (19-10-3) while their away record is a trash (8-17-8), in their last 10 they’ve been (3-4-3) and one of those 3 wins they were lucky to run into a Rangers team that was playing their 3rd game in 4 days.  As far as the Isles go, the season has turned around for them, they are in serious contention for the second wild card spot (1 point out behind Toronto) and they’re killers at Barclays.  They have been (19-10-3) at home and (6-3-1) in last 10, love targeting this team at home because they play like a different team when in Brooklyn (away record of 12-16-5). A -150 money line isn’t a high asking price for such a match-up.

PICK: Islanders to Win. (-125)

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The Guide to Thursday

I should’ve really done a write up for the Champions League yesterday, Barca at -1 and Dortmund at -1.5 was way too good to pass up. Well lets get into it.

New York Rangers v. Carolina Hurricanes (@PNC Arena; Raleigh, NC)

Again we get the Rangers with a great line against another shit team. As long as these lines keep coming in I will continue to throw on the Rags and reiterate how incredible they are on the road. They are (24-8-0) which is not only 5 more wins than any other team in hockey on the road, but it is the third best Home/Away split record in all of hockey (second to only Pitt and Washington’s home records).  The rangers are getting their form back and are only 2 points away from getting out of the wild card spot (although Columbus and Pitt still have 2 games in hand on them).  The Rangers are 6-3-1 in their last 10 while Carolina has been a leagues worst 2-5-3 in their last 10.  The last 6 games Carolina has played they have only totaled 3 goals ONE TIME, and that is scary going into a game against the second highest scoring team in the NHL.  After a short struggle the Rangers unleashed on Florida Tuesday night putting up 5 goals on only 28 shots.  With Raanta in net coming off a sick performance against Tampa in his last game (38 save shutout), and Cam Ward in net for Carolina (currently riding a 6 game losing streak where his save percent is .883% and GAA is 3.21) this is a really nice spot for the NYR.

PICK: New York Rangers to win. (-125)

New York Rangers v Carolina Hurricanes

 

Chicago Blackhawks v. Anaheim Ducks (@United Center; Chicago, Illinois)

Why not ride the hot hand of the Hawks’ here? Chicago has been unstoppable as of late going 9-1-0 in their last 10 (currently on a 7 game win streak) and they get a great match-up here against an Anaheim side who is MUCH BETTER at home.  Anaheim is 5-5-0 in their last 10 and are (13-14-7) on the road – a shitty 38.2% win percentage. With the Blackhawks facing the change here to hop into first in the Central Division they will come out flying and bury the Ducks with ease. The Ducks can not stop Patty Kane and Panarin on home ice.

PICK: Chicago Blackhawks to win. (-165)

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The Guide to Friday

Two hockey games show up on a pretty confident slate across the board, lets get right into those 2 plays as well as a potential parlay we could attack here.

 

Chicago Blackhawks v. New York Islanders (@United Center; Chicago, Illinois)

I love the Blackhawks at home this year and I don’t think you will find them in a better spot than tonight for what will be looked at as “not an easy win”; but one that they should be able to pull off without a doubt. Aside from the fact Chicago has been on an absolute tear going 9-1-0 in their last 10 including a dominating 4-1 win in the United Center over the juggernaut of a team, the Penguins. The Isles on the road are 10-14-4 comparing to the Hawks 21-8-4 record at home (top 5 in NHL) and to make things even sweeter, the Islanders played a hard fought game last night in Texas and will have to travel to Chicago and be ready to play all within 12 hrs of each other. Look for the Hawks to extend their win streak to 6 in a row here against a tired New York side.

PICK: Blackhawks to win. (-200)

Vancouver Canucks v Chicago Blackhawks - Game Six

 

Carolina Hurricanes v. Arizona Coyotes (@PNC Arena; Raleigh, North Carolina)

I know the Hurricanes may be the furthest thing from what a gambling man considers a team they would feel comfortable putting money on but hear me out on this one.  Knowing that all hockey lines can be astronomical depending on the situation (for ex: Penguins home v. the Avalanche would probably boast a -500 money line if not more), this is a pick that can be pretty fair of a risk for a nice spot with a home team. The Arizona Coyotes are just as done and out of the playoffs as the Hurricanes but it seems that the fight is still there for the Canes while Arizona has no will left. After the trade deadline left them without Hanzal they look like an even worse team than their already awful record suggests.  They dropped a 6-3 game last night to the Sabres and will be traveling from Buffalo down to Raleigh to play back-to-back games. Carolina also has quite the record at home (18-9-2) comparing to the Coyotes (8-20-4) on the road.  After a rough stretch of games as well as a rough schedule, look for Carolina to take out some of their frustrations tonight and beat up on the trash Coyotes.

PICK: Hurricanes to win. (-230)

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Getting into the last quick portion, a parlay on the line could be a play. Take the two picks above and adding a Penguins at home win over the Lightning gives us a nice 3 leg parlay here that could return a nice profit with solid plays.

PARLAY: Carolina Hurricanes win. (-230)                                                                                                                   Pittsburgh Penguins win. (-165)                                                                                                                   Chicago Blackhawks win. (-200)                                                                                                                   (10 to win 25)